per 26.10.23 – to be completed ….

Opening talk: Forecasting natural disasters
Bård Fjukstad, The Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET) 

Session 1: Methods and models for natural hazard prediction, including machine learning

Modeling streamflow response to climate change in Wamkurumadzi River, Shire Basin in Malawi using the SWAT Model
Lusungu Nkhoma, University of Oslo 

Keynote 1.2: A machine learning revolution for weather forecasting?
Matthew Chantry, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts 

Flood forecasting everywhere – putting PUB to work
Thomas Skaugen, NVE 

River discharge extremes in Norwegian regulated catchments: simulations using a hydro-logic model including human interventions
Emiliano Gelati, University of Oslo 

Session 2: Forecasting of weather-induced natural hazards, including data assimilation

Keynote 2.1: Probabilistic impact-based approaches for flood forecasting and prediction
Steven Cole, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, UK

A land data assimilation system for NWP initial conditions and hydrometeorological forecasting
Jostein Blyverket, MET

Understanding the influence of soil moisture and surface water fluxes on extreme convective precipitation events during summer in South Norway
Laura Ehrnsperger, MET

Session 3: Impact-based natural hazard warnings: User needs and risk communication

Serious gaming as a tool for involving local stakeholders in risk management
Ingrid Vigna, MET

Keynote 3.2: Evolving Early Warnings with the Power of Impact Data
Juhana Hyrkkânen, Finnish Meteorological Institute

FlomRisk – user centered design to support impact-based flood warnings
Trine J. Hegdahl, NVE

Actionable warnings – a joint effort on how to communicate warnings with one voice
Mai-Linn F. Svehagen, MET

Session 4: Dimensioning and planning for natural hazard risks, including climate change issues

Mitigation measure manual
Priska H. Hiller, NVE

Keynote 4.2: Handling and mitigation of a flood event – Before, during and after
Bjørg Lirhus Ree, Voss herad


A data-driven model for Fennoscandian wildfire danger
Sigrid Jørgensen Bakke, NVE

From climate projections to guidelines on climate change allowances
Irene Brox Nilsen, NVE

Return values for extreme precipitation in Norway – a comparison of estimates from new approaches combining ensemble data and gridded observations to PMP values
Karianne Ødemark, MET