per 09.01.23
Opening talk: Forecasting natural disasters
Bård Fjukstad, The Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET)
Session 1: Methods and models for natural hazard prediction, including machine learning
Trends in hydrometeorological avalanche indicators in Norway and Svalbard in 1957-2023
Tuomo Saloranta, Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE)
Modeling streamflow response to climate change in Wamkurumadzi River, Shire Basin in Malawi using the SWAT Model
Lusungu Nkhoma, University of Oslo
Keynote 1.2: A machine learning revolution for weather forecasting?
Matthew Chantry, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts
Flood forecasting everywhere – putting PUB to work
Thomas Skaugen, NVE
River discharge extremes in Norwegian regulated catchments: simulations using a hydrologic model including human interventions
Emiliano Gelati, University of Oslo
Session 2: Forecasting of weather-induced natural hazards, including data assimilation
Keynote 2.1: Probabilistic impact-based approaches for flood forecasting and prediction
Steven Cole, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, UK
A land data assimilation system for NWP initial conditions and hydrometeorological forecasting
Jostein Blyverket, MET
How can we make ensemble flood forecast more reliable?
Byman H. Hamududu, NVE
Understanding the influence of soil moisture and surface water fluxes on extreme convective precipitation events during summer in South Norway
Laura Ehrnsperger, MET
Session 3: Impact-based natural hazard warnings: User needs and risk communication
Serious gaming as a tool for involving local stakeholders in risk management
Ingrid Vigna, MET
Keynote 3.2: Evolving Early Warnings with the Power of Impact Data
Juhana Hyrkkânen, Finnish Meteorological Institute
FlomRisk – user centered design to support impact-based flood warnings
Trine J. Hegdahl, NVE
Actionable warnings – a joint effort on how to communicate warnings with one voice
Mai-Linn F. Svehagen, MET
Session 4: Dimensioning and planning for natural hazard risks, including climate change issues
Mitigation measure manual
Priska H. Hiller, NVE
Keynote 4.2: Handling and mitigation of a flood event – Before, during and after
Bjørg Lirhus Ree, Voss herad
Posters
A data-driven model for Fennoscandian wildfire danger
Sigrid Jørgensen Bakke, NVE
From climate projections to guidelines on climate change allowances
Irene Brox Nilsen, NVE
Return values for extreme precipitation in Norway – a comparison of estimates from new approaches combining ensemble data and gridded observations to PMP values
Karianne Ødemark, MET